Post-Election Analysis · March 2026 Primary

What If the Vote
Wasn't Split?

The anti-war, pro-Palestine vote was split across multiple candidates in every race. In all three congressional races, the combined anti-war vote exceeded the winner's total.

IL-09 · Evanston / Skokie / North Chicago

Anti-war vote exceeded the winner, but was split across two candidates.

Daniel Biss

Winner

29.37%

Anti-War Bloc

Consolidated

31.14%

trending_up +1.77% WIN if consolidated

Bloc composition

Kat Abughazaleh (Our Pick) Bushra Amiwala

IL-07 · West Side Chicago / Near West Suburbs

Anti-war vote was split across six candidates, totaling nearly double the winner.

La Shawn Ford

Winner

23.90%

Anti-War Bloc

Consolidated

43.13%

trending_up +19.23% WIN if consolidated

Bloc composition

Kina Collins ~9% (Our Pick) Anthony Driver Jr. ~11.5% Anabel Mendoza ~5.5% Thomas Fisher ~7% Reed Showalter ~5% Jazmin Robinson

IL-08 · NW Suburbs / Schaumburg / Des Plaines

Anti-war vote split between two candidates still beat the winner.

Melissa Bean

Winner

32.00%

Anti-War Bloc

Consolidated

37.00%

trending_up +5.00% WIN if consolidated

Bloc composition

Junaid Ahmed (Our Pick) Yasmeen Bankole

Combined results across all three races

In all three congressional races, the combined vote share of anti-war candidates exceeded the winner. Had the anti-war vote consolidated behind a single candidate in each race, that candidate would have won all three.

3/3

Races winnable

+8.7%

Avg. margin of victory

+19.2%

Largest margin (IL-07)